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Sales Forecast for a New Business (+ Free Calculator)

How much will you sell? Here is a simple, careful way to forecast sales for three years, plus a free calculator.

In short: a simple sales forecast multiplies sales on a normal day × average order value × days open per year, then adds a careful growth rate for the next years. Use a normal day, not your best day.

The Three Numbers You Need

NumberWhat it meansWhere to get it
Sales per dayHow many sales on a normal dayWatch a similar business; use your market research
Average order valueWhat a customer spends per saleYour prices and what people usually buy together
Days open per yearDays you will really be openYour opening plan, minus holidays

Forecast Your Sales

3-Year Sales Forecast Calculator

Enter amounts in your own currency. Everything is calculated on this page — nothing is sent or saved.

Year 1 sales0
Year 2 sales0
Year 3 sales0

Year 1 = sales per day × average order value × days open. Each next year grows by your growth rate.

Choosing a Growth Rate

Be careful. A small growth rate you can explain — new customers from marketing, a second product, longer opening hours — is more believable than a big one. If you are not sure, start with a low number, or none.

Check It Against Your Market

Compare Year 1 with your local market size. If your forecast needs more than a realistic share of the market, lower it — or explain why you expect to win more.

Example (Illustrative)

Illustrative example — a small bakery 60 sales a day × 2.50 × 300 days = 45,000 in Year 1. With 10% growth: about 49,500 in Year 2 and 54,450 in Year 3 — the same numbers used in our financial projections guide.

Common Mistakes

  • Using your best day instead of a normal one.
  • Counting every day of the year when you will close on some.
  • Big growth with no reason. Explain every growth number.

Where It Fits in Your Business Plan

Your sales forecast is the starting point of the Financial Plan and Projections section. It feeds your break-even and cash flow.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do I forecast sales for a new business?

Estimate sales on a normal day, multiply by your average order value and the days you will be open, then add a careful yearly growth rate.

What is average order value?

The average amount a customer spends on one sale or visit.

What growth rate should I use?

A small one you can explain. If you are not sure, start low or keep sales flat.

How many years should a sales forecast cover?

Three years is common for a small business plan.

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Founderplat walks you through all eight sections, one small step at a time, with tips and examples for every part.

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